No issue more preoccupies the modern
political process than economic growth.
As never before, economic growth is the
touchstone of policy success. Countries
rate their progress against others by
their income per person, which can only
rise through faster growth. High growth
is a cause of national pride while low
growth attracts accusations of incompetence
in rich countries and pity in the case
of poor countries.
A country that experiences a period
of low growth goes through an agony of
national soul searching in which pundits
of the left and right expostulate about
"where we went wrong" and whether
there is some tragic fault in the national
character.
Every newspaper, every day, quotes a
political leader or a commentator arguing
that we need more economic growth to improve
the level of national well-being and build
a better society. The release of the quarterly
national accounts unfailingly receives
extensive coverage. Picking out growth
in gross
national product (GNP), journalists
write as if they have an infallible technical
barometer of a nation's progress. Derived
by some of the best statisticians using
the internationally agreed system of national
accounting, GNP appears to provide a measure
of prosperity that is immune to argument.
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If GNP growth reaches or exceeds expectations,
government leaders crow about their achievements.
If it falls below expectations, the opposition
parties seize on the figures to attack
the government for its ineptitude. Throughout
history national leaders have promised
freedom, equality, mass education, moral
invigoration and the restoration of national
pride; now they promise more economic
growth. If at any time there were doubts
about the ends to which a nation should
aspire, they are no more.
In the thrall of growth fetishism, all
of the major political parties in the
West have made themselves captives of
the national accounts. While they may
differ on social policy, there is an unchallengeable
consensus that the over-riding objective
of government must be growth of the economy.
Parties fight elections each promising
to manage the economy better so that economic
growth will be higher.
The answer to almost every problem is
"more economic growth". The
problem is unemployment; only growth can
create the jobs. Schools and hospitals
are underfunded; faster growth will improve
the budget. We can't afford to protect
the environment; the solution is more
growth. Poverty is entrenched; growth
will rescue the poor. Income distribution
is unequal; more growth will make everyone
better off.
For decades we have been promised that
growth will unlock possibilities of which
previous generations could only dream.
Economic growth will deliver a life of
ever-increasing leisure, more free services,
devices to relieve the drudgery of household
work, opportunities for personal enrichment,
exciting space travel, and cures for the
diseases of humankind. The lure of growth
is endless.
But in the face of all of the fantastical
promises of economic growth, at the beginning
of the 21st century we are confronted
by an awful fact, a fact that stands as
an immovable obstacle to further progress.
Despite high and sustained levels of economic
growth in the West over a period of 50
years - growth that has seen average real
incomes increase several times over -
the mass of people are no more satisfied
with their lives now than they were then.
If the purpose of growth has been to
give us better lives - and there can be
no other purpose - then it has manifestly
failed. The reader can simply ask this
question: Do I believe that on the whole
people are happier now than they were
40 or 50 years ago? When asked this question,
almost everyone says "no".
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The more we examine the role of growth
in modern society, the more our preoccupation
with it appears to be a fetish, that is,
the worship of an inanimate object for
its apparent magical powers. Economic
growth purports to be a very ordinary
activity, no more than an increase in
the volume of goods and services produced
each year. But closer analysis reveals
that it "abounds in metaphysical
subtleties and theological niceties".
The product of growth - which for ordinary
people takes the form of its universal
equivalent, money income - represents,
of course, much more than a greater ability
to consume. Increase in income is the
very object of life in modern society,
in which all of the hopes and schemes
of men and women are invested. Indeed,
increasing income has become pivotal to
the creation and reproduction of self
in modern society. Thus growth takes on
significance not because it multiplies
the pile of goods and services available
for consumption but because of the excitation
it produces in people - the promise it
holds to attain bliss.
Growth fetishism is not confined to advanced
countries. While the case for economic
growth is much stronger in countries below
a certain level of average income, developing
countries are also obsessed with it, perhaps
the last and most potent legacy of colonialism.
They have little choice. Were developing
countries to deviate from the single-minded
pursuit of maximum economic growth, we
can be sure that if the markets did not
exact instant retribution, then the IMF
and the World Bank would.
The 'Asian miracle' was a miracle
of growth. Determined to beat the West
at its own game, the little tigers learned
to roar by sustaining growth rates of
eight, nine and even 10 per cent per annum
over a decade or two. In one of the great
reversals of history, Western commentators
and market pundits in the 1980s began
to berate their governments for failing
to match the growth performance of East
Asia; the strategies of the Asian tigers
became the model to be emulated. This
usually meant faster trade liberalisation,
lower wages, labour market 'flexibility'
and deep cuts in taxation and social security.
The little tigers of East Asia had apparently
learned their lessons from the industrialised
countries so well that they had become
the teachers, and political leaders in
the West became the dutiful students.
Why? Because eight per cent is higher
than four per cent.
Socialist countries, too, were smitten
by growth. The ideological divide of the
Cold War that threatened to destroy the
world was not over the desirability of
economic growth. On that all agreed. They
disagreed over which system of economic
organisation, socialism or capitalism,
could generate more of it.
There can be little doubt that in recent
decades the most evangelical promoters
of growth fetishism have been the economists,
the profession that since the 1970s has
achieved a position of unrivalled dominance
in public debate and policy formation
throughout the world. One particular school
of economists has achieved uncontested
control, the neo-classical, neo-liberal
or free-market school.
Today, the benefits of growth are taken
to be so self-evident that one has to
search hard to find any reference to them
in the economics texts. Open any university
text and the subject is immediately defined
as the study of how to use scarce resources
to best satisfy unlimited wants. These
"wants" are assumed to be those
that consumption satisfies, and the text
is occupied with the analysis of the behaviour
of consumers in their quest to maximise
their "utility". By subtle fusion,
human beings have become "consumers"
and human desire has been defined in terms
of goods; it follows that the only way
to make people happier is to provide more
goods. In other words, the objective is
growth.
Governments of all persuasions are now
mesmerised by economic growth and find
it awkward to think about national progress
more broadly. Growth, investment, development,
competitiveness, free trade - these aspects
of the market system are powerful political
symbols, before which political parties
of the left and right kneel.
In the past 25 years politics in the
West has been marked by the ideological
convergence of the main parties. The process
has been one in which social democratic
parties abandoned their traditional commitments
and converged on the free-market policies
of the conservatives. It is now commonplace
to observe that the conservatives, seeing
their political ground occupied by the
parties of the left, purified their neo-liberalism,
discarded the old ideas of social conservatism
and shifted further to the right.
This process is now starting to turn
in on itself. In New South Wales, for
instance, when the Liberal party replaced
a right-wing leader who had lost two elections
with a moderate, one party official observed
that they had not been able to outflank
the Labor Government from the right, so
it was time to try to do so from the left.
The political implications of this ideological
convergence through the 1980s and 1990s
have been profound. Under the impact of
these changes, and especially the convergence
of the political parties, the political
culture of Western democracies has been
transformed. People no longer know what
the parties of the left stand for. Their
policies have no resonance with ordinary
people. Party loyalty has been eroded
because the sense of class solidarity
that once defined the parties of the left
has evaporated.
The more the parties converge in substance,
the more they must attempt to differentiate
themselves through spin. The politics
of spin are the politics of falsity and
there is a popular belief that the democratic
process has become an elaborate charade.
The major parties, now dominated by careerists
who stand for nothing, whip themselves
into frenzies over matters that are trivial,
lashing out at their opponents with declarations
of outrage, while tacitly agreeing not
to break the neo-liberal consensus on
the things that really matter. No wonder
people are alienated and political space
is created for the emergence of parties
of the far right. The irony is that, instead
of blaming the system and those who benefit
from it, some of those who become alienated
turn their bitterness on those least able
to protect themselves - single mothers,
immigrants and Indigenous people.
Growth fetishism and its neo-liberal
handmaiden therefore assail democracy
itself. Social democracy is being superseded
by a sort of market totalitarianism. When
older people speak bitterly of the corruption
of modern politics, they nevertheless
feel that it is an historical aberration
on the constancy of democratic rights
and that in the end the people can still
have their say. Disturbingly, younger
people hear only the accusation that the
system is incurably corrupt, and they
believe it.