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Public-service mega-migration spin is winning the war on voters

By Stephen Saunders - posted Wednesday, 29 November 2023


Nominally, the educated and moneyed cheer-squads for Big (now Huge) Australia are arm's length from federal government.

Like state premiers, industry/developers, unions/employers, universities/scientists, economists/planners, media and "think" tanks, migration lobbyists, organised religions.

Equally crucial influencers are the federal departments and agencies. Topmost mandarins, commonly earning twice what ministers earn, intuit Huge Australia as bedrock.

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If it ever existed, frank and fearless Australian Public Service (APS) withered at Old Parliament House. "Australian Government" Service is closer.

Scott Morrison dissed his public service. Anthony Albanese dovetails with them.

Partisan departmental Secretaries, Kathryn Campbell AO and Michael Pezzullo AO, got purged eventually. Not before the latter had bedded down, duplicitous Albanese'sall-time "student" visa and net-migration surges.

Treasury Portfolio hoodwinks voters - on climate versus population.

Prime Minister's Department (PM&C) advocates the unsound UN concept of net zero emissions. Zero chance – up against Treasurer Jim Chalmers 'population deluge.

Morrison's Treasury Secretary suited Chalmers. For 2022-23 net migration, their October 2022 Budget target was 235,000.

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Same as Jim's Intergenerational Report target - same as Josh Frydenberg's intergenerational target.

After "revising" his 235,000 target to 300,000 - whoops 400,000 – Jim scored a final outcome closer to 500,000. Doubling Josh's top scores, from before COVID.

This historic immigration overshoot is a scandal of misinformation and maladministration. Doesn't bother the cheer-squads.

Treasury pretends, net migration's not even a target. Just la-la "forecasts" generating la-la population "estimates". Budget Speeches omit the Huge Australia plan. That's squirrelled into Appendix A behind Budget Paper 3.

Which "explains" in circular terms, migration-depends-on-migration. No one's supervising our turnstiles, right? Not relevant to voters, OK?

Jim took this Treasury mockery next level. Showboating on national ABC. Migration isn't "government policy…that the government determines".

"Congestion busting" Morrison gifted Treasury a Centre for Population. To "understand how population is changing" [my emphasis].

Jim embraced it.

The end-2022 Population Statement fibbed, 2022-23 migration would only "recover" to 235,000. Which the Population Director passed off, as normal or "pre-pandemic" trend.

Huh? 235,000 tops the Big Australia average, over 2007-2020. The post-1901 average for net migration is only 80,000 – the 20th century average much lower.

Jim's big picture Treasury falsification is "slower" population growth. "Only" reaching 40 million. When 26 - even 19 – million was overstretching Australia's carrying capacity.

Former Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe sometimes mentioned unmentionables. Massive migration drags on productivity , wages and housing.

Now Jim's found an accommodating RBA chief. A central banker, right into climate change.

In her maiden Governor's speech , rental crisis is no big deal, little people. She lifted interest rates, awkwardly denying that runaway immigration fuels inflation.

Jim's new Productivity Commission chief, once an "exceptional" APS mandarin , arrives from the Grattan "Institute". Corporate "think" tank gaslighting for mega migration.

Her Commission's conundrum? Our "slowest" pace of productivity growth in 60 years.

Wouldn't link to the population deluge, eh? Instead, woke Jim's tasked her on technology, climate change, care services, and population "ageing".

Not even Treasury's ABS is untouched. Their new population projections still miscast 175,000 as "lower" migration.

Though they also attach, "zero net" migration scenario. Hapless voters should be so lucky.

Home Affairs and other Departments - normalising mega migration.

Pezzullo's dream empire is the contradictory Home Affairs conglomerate.

Directorates like Border Force and Cyber Security patrol borders, keeping us "safe".

Immigration directorate stands for open borders. Until COVID, they were nailing Treasury migration targets, tolerably OK.

Over 2022-23, they totally overshot. Over 2023-24, don't trust Home Affairs Minister Clare O'Neil. Re Jim's huge target, of 315,000.

Conveniently, an ex-Treasury Secretary oversaw Clare's Migration Review. Spinning Treasury narrative. We mandarins can't "cap" or "manage" net migration. Only "permanent".

Thus, Immigration consults and reports industriously on the "size and composition" of Permanent Migration.

Barely mentioning, that most of the 195,000 (190,000 for 2023-24) permanent "outcomes" are already here on "temporary" visas. Total "outcomes" mostly reflect visa upgrades - via Minister Giles 'APS platoons.

 

Nor do "outcomes" much represent "skills" in demand. That's always been overegged. Much of today's net migration arrives on "student" visas.

Meanwhile, Transport and Infrastructure Department develops a net zero "roadmap" for transport emissions. Agriculture, a "sectoral" net zero plan.

Piggy-in-the-middle is Climate and Environment Department, DCCEEW. "CC" reports to Minister Bowen, of the gimcrack Safeguard Mechanism and "43%" emissions reduction.

As DSEWPAC, the Department prepared the 2011 Population Strategy, for Gillard Government. But Treasury/PM&C massaged it.

"There are natural limits to growth in Australia," intoned then Population Minister Burke, "it will never be a free-for-all." Hilarious.

Then as now, Treasury's our real population-environment overlord.

While they're propagandising guru Ross Garnaut's "net zero" economy, Environment Minister "protects" environment under EPBC Act.

Rarely, Environment kiboshes some mine or dam. Every five years comes their undertaker's report - declining State of the Environment. Ever increasing population "pressures" the driest continent.

Treasury pooh-poohs inconvenient truth.

ABC and SBS – multiplying immigration spin.

Government ABC occasionally quizzes ministers on migration. Consults low-migration advocates, to "balance" ANU's Liz Allen or other influencers.

ABC might even yoke , the rental crisis to migration pressures.

But scan their everyday hand-wringing coverage of rental and housing crisis. Masking its prime causes – unprecedented and undemocratic levels of immigration:

As against annual population growth under 0.5% in the OECD bloc, Albanese's immigration (over 1.5%) and population-growth deluges (topping 2%) unduly punish voters.

Whilegovernment SBS lives and breathes, multicultural migration. Even less likely, to second-guess Treasury line.

Quietly, David Anderson was reappointed, ABC chief. He and his SBS equivalent command audiences of many millions.

Government networks massaging government spin. Might backfire, if Australian oppositions weren't so me too for mega migration.

Complaisant ANU and CSIRO – pushing "net zero".

ANU's our one university that's in effect federal, not state, or private.

Not saying, its new Vice-Chancellor would tailor the message. Think more, a natural confluence of educated-elite preferences. For yonks, Albanese's PM&C chief Glyn Davis headed University of Melbourne.

ANU demographers, economists, and climate specialists wield national clout. Superficially explaining away the unpopular population deluge. Playing up UN "net zero".

Similarly, CSIRO oversells net zero "industries". Contemplates fish populations, rather than human.

Public-service mega-migration spin - winning the war on voters.

There it is – Albanese's agency apparatus for mass-migration propaganda. Not a topic, at the lofty "Institute" of Public Administration.

Instead, public-policy wonks complain. "Unaccountable" ministerial advisers are restricting the contest of policy ideas. Hullo? Ministerial mandarins do that.

Unsurprisingly, their "contest" prefers "climate" not population mitigation. Knowing, Albanese always anticipates, more migrants please.

His misnamed Misinformation Bill would be another win, for Treasury population spin.

This Bill targets "misinformation" from outside government. Government and agency messages would be exempted. Purportedly, social media might block "disaster alerts".

Here's an unofficial disaster alert: Treasury's immigration blitz is a war on beleaguered voters, a pasting for economy and environment.

Yet Treasurer applauds himself. For two Budgets, Reserve Bank "overhaul", tax tweaks, cost-of-living "relief". We're beneficiaries of his "change".

In other pro-government coverage, Jim also shines. Never mind about: wealth thrashing labour, graphic setbacks in household incomes and real wages, energy bill shocks, record house prices, all-time rental crisis, and rising homelessness.

Albanese government and agencies have propagandised – normalised – the Coalition's triple-treat immigration levels. Then doubled down. Winning the war on voters.

 

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About the Author

Stephen Saunders is a former APS public servant and consultant.

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