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The Rudd strategy Part I: political expertise or political expediency

By Arthur Thomas - posted Friday, 31 October 2008


Given China's inflexibility on its future development and the serious impact that China's development is having on global warming, what are the Rudd strategies to convince China to co-operate?

Just what are the Rudd strategies acceptable to China that will not include carbon related taxes or tariffs on energy or iron ore, that will not reduce China's competitiveness?

In respect to meaningful caps one cannot ignore the increasing impact on global warming that will come from China's massive steel expansion, coal fired power generation and urbanisation programs. These will continue beyond 2020 and make any base for emission caps prior to 2006 totally irrelevant.

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What if?

What happens if China's demand for Australian raw materials does in fact fall?

If China demand weakens, it is reasonable to assume that the same cause will weaken demand from Japan and South Korea?

How much of the current surplus and "Future Fund" will be left by mid 2009?

Who's responsibility is it?

Responsible fiscal management is the responsibility of the Australian Government, so what are the Rudd strategies for the strategic surplus and the Future Fund if the economic crisis worsens and exports drop?

Since it is a Rudd strategy, then it must rely on Rudd's own claims of evidence using hard fact in order to comply with his regularly quoted “evidence based policy”.

It would be enlightening if he could disclose the hard evidence upon which this current strategy is based.

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Surely it is not possible that it may be too randomised?

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About the Author

Arthur Thomas is retired. He has extensive experience in the old Soviet, the new Russia, China, Central Asia and South East Asia.

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