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Global warming. What effect might it have upon bushfires?

By John Cribbes - posted Wednesday, 24 October 2007


He continued:  "Within the past twenty five years many parts of the Tambo Valley … have likewise become overgrown by a young forest …. Similar observations may be made in the Omeo district".

Howitt makes reference to unforseen consequences of removing fire from Gippsland when he observed that while young seedlings now had a chance of life, "a severe check was removed from insect pests". He describes how insect pests have destroyed many River Red Gum forests in central Gippsland.

Bringing the issue into this century, Mr Vic Jurskis of Forests NSW, observed in "The decline of eucalypt forests as a consequence of unnatural fire regimes" that his research suggests that the lack of fire in NSW forests has contributed to the decline in that State’s eucalypt forest. Further, he accepts that, where fuel reduction burning has been removed, it is better to have cattle grazing.

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There can be little doubt that, unless Victorian forests are subjected to effective programs of fuel reduction burning and thinning, Global Warming will have a negative effect. However, in every cloud, there may be a silver lining.

Currently cool temperature fuel reduction burning efforts in Victoria have been negligible, but what activity there has been is mainly in autumn.

If Global Warming occurs it will make all of our seasons warmer, providing opportunities to carry out fuel reduction burning in winter as well as spring and autumn.

A further benefit to rural Victoria would be a greater number of people employed.

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About the Author

John Cribbes is a retired, 68 year old public service accountant with some commercial accountancy skills. Trained at one time as a Business Analyst by Dun & Bradstreet, he also has analytical skills. He is very comfortable with extracting information from people who have qualifications that authenticate their conclusions. This has enabled him to track down and examine various documents that are relevant in the current debate. His attitude to the environment is simple. Whatever man does to alter his environment, if nature does not like it, the venture will fail. It is no good hugging trees and worshipping at that high altar when the basic principle of fire in forest management is ignored or suppressed. He believes that without human intervention and science based management it is obvious that Australian forests are in decline.

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