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Is the Russia-Ukraine war stopping or continuing?

By Chin Jin - posted Monday, 3 March 2025


Trump's unique approach lies in his ability to envision a future filled with towering skyscrapers and economic prosperity-even in a war-torn region like Gaza. His "Trump Gold Card" policy, a pro-business initiative, is another example of his pragmatic approach, though it seems to be inspired by Australia's immigration policies.

When Ukraine's 2023 spring counteroffensive failed, the logical next step should have been peace negotiations. However, Europe and the Biden administration never prioritized Ukrainian lives. Instead, the West used the war for its own geopolitical and economic gains, actively preventing peace talks from materializing.

Zelensky's ambition to reclaim Crimea is understandable, but such an effort requires substantial military strength. Historically, Crimea's integration into Ukraine was largely due to Khrushchev's personal ties to the region-having moved to Donbas in 1908 and later living and working in Ukraine for many years. It was under his leadership that Crimea was transferred to Ukraine in 1954.

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Trump wants the war to end and to stop the loss of lives-whether Ukrainian or Russian. Putin, exhausted by the prolonged conflict, likely has little remaining will to fight; all he needs is a dignified exit. Trump's return to the White House would offer him precisely that opportunity.

In contrast, Zelensky remains determined to fight to the last moment for Ukraine's territorial integrity. However, his ability to do so hinges entirely on US support. If the White House changes hands and the pro-Ukraine Democratic administration exits, Zelensky's position weakens significantly. His heated clash with Trump during his White House visit could further jeopardize American aid, potentially reducing it to nothing.

Nevertheless, Trump, ever the dealmaker, reportedly reassured Zelensky generously afterward: "You have only one card to play-the US Come back when you're ready, and I'll deal you in again."

In the end, the most likely outcome is that, after exhausting all other options and finding no alternative support, Zelensky will be forced to return to Trump's ceasefire proposal.

 

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About the Author

Dr Chin Jin is a maverick, activist, campaigner, essayist, freelancer, researcher and organizer with the vision to foresee a new post-Chinese Communist regime era that will present more cooperatively, more constructively and more appropriately to the Asia Pacific region and even the world.

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