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Will Kamala Harris win?

By Peter Bowden - posted Wednesday, 21 August 2024


An examination of close to 20 different polling results show similar figures, with Harris leading in just three, one being by Fox News. One encouraging sign for Harris is an endorsement by the political arm of the League of United Latin American Citizens, which hadn't endorsed anyone for president in its nearly 100-year history.

The higher support for Trump may, however, be due to his authoritarian personality according to Peter Hartcher political and international editor of the Sydney Morning Herald. This opinion writer has the same belief.

According to a survey for the Financial Times, 42 percent of voters trust Harris more than Trump to handle the economy, a seven-point increase on Joe Biden's number last month.

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The UK Newspaper, The Telegraph asserted recently that Benjamin Netanyahu may be emboldened to take stronger action now that Joe Biden has quit the US presidential race. Readers concerned with resolving the Israel/Hamas war would hope not. Many of us believe that the war, including the bombardment of Gaza citizens has already gone too far. Where does Donald Trump stand on the Israeli /Gaza war? One blog, Slate, claims that Donald Trump said Israel should quickly end the war in Gaza and "get back to the world of peace"-but it's not what it sounds like.

The once and possibly future president was not urging Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to stop the bombing or withdraw Israeli troops. Quite the contrary: Trump was prodding him to intensify and accelerate the military campaign, "to finish it up and do it quickly."

He lambasted President Biden not for going easy on Israel, as leftist critics charge, but for applying pressure on Israel at all. "Biden is so bad for Israel," Trump said. "They should've never been attacked. If Biden were good to Israel, they wouldn't have been attacked."

Slate's opinion on this issue should be recognised. Its strong editorial voice and take on current events have been recognized with numerous awards, including the National Magazine Award for General Excellence Online'

Trump also said, in a separate interview with Fox News on Friday, that Hamas' invasion "would have never happened if I was president"-though, again, it's not clear how Trump's very presence in the Oval Office, even positing a favourable view of his time there, would have prevented the attack. (Would Hamas have feared U.S. retaliation? Would Netanyahu have taken better care of his southern border?)

This, of course, is typical Trump. He has also said that Russia would not have invaded Ukraine if he'd still been president-even though, in fact, he'd given every signal that he would tolerate anything Vladimir Putin would do, especially if it meant hurting Volodymyr Zelensky, whom he still detests for their "perfect" phone call, which prompted Trump's first impeachment.

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Since the United States' founding, 29 of the 49 people who have served as vice president have gone on to formally seek a party's presidential nomination. It's been more common recently: 15 vice presidents since 1930 have launched presidential campaigns after serving in the deputy role. But only five of those 15 have been elected president. Perhaps the biggest electoral story of the past decade has been the phenomenon of education polarization, in which college-educated voters have been trending increasingly toward Democrats while non-college voters have been moving more toward the GOP- the Republican Party.

Kamala Harris found the perfect foil for J.D. Vance (Trumps VP) in Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN) her vice-presidential running mate. But this opinion writer believes that Trump will win. The reason?? He is an autocratic male. The human race has supported and followed autocratic males since their evolution from Chimpanzees. Jane Goodall in her work with the apes in Tanzania pointed out that the massacre of Kasakela tribe of the Kahama tribe lead by an alpha male Mike .Goodall's findings including her belief that we inherited chimpanzee conflictual habits, have been subject to much criticism. A 2018 study published in the American Journal of Physical Anthropology concluded that the Gombe War was most likely a consequence of a power struggle between three high-ranking males.

The author of this opinion piece supports the alpha male theory. In an On line Opinion article Do we have free will, he argues that we have a constrained free will. Extending this argument says that our decision-making processes are inherited from our tribal ancestry, and that ancestry has given us autocratic leaders and tribal warfare since the beginning of time. Donald trump is an autocratic leader. The Americans will vote for him. For the sake of a better world, I hope I am wrong, but fear that this diagnosis will be found to be correct. Wars, led by power hungry leaders, have been evidenced since the beginning of recorded history.

 

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About the Author

Peter Bowden is an author, researcher and ethicist. He was formerly Coordinator of the MBA Program at Monash University and Professor of Administrative Studies at Manchester University. He is currently a member of the Australian Business Ethics Network , working on business, institutional, and personal ethics.

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