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Why is it so impossible to predict the outcome of PNG elections

By Jeffrey Wall - posted Friday, 11 March 2022

The process is hardly made more predictable by the reality that somewhere between 50% and 70% of members lose their seats at each election. And the losers can include party leaders and Ministers.

Politics in PNG is a costly and a hazardous business!

It is complex in so many ways. Sadly, this election shows no signs of reducing the complexity and enhancing transparency!

Is it any wonder that the end result every five years is so wholly unpredictable?

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About the Author

Jeffrey Wall CSM CBE is a Brisbane Political Consultant and has served as Advisor to the PNG Foreign Minister, Sir Rabbie Namaliu – Prime Minister 1988-1992 and Speaker 1994-1997.