Mandatory vaccination is a human rights violation. A gross violation

It's certain that you don't need a majority of the citizenry to be disobedient, just a significant and noisy minority who can feed into sympathetic media narratives.

While most of the media has been dishonourably absent from the field during the COVID pandemic, there are signs that as the audience-lure of COVID-porn wanes they are starting to pick up the stories of lives and livelihoods destroyed by the lockdowns.

They won't be able to resist the stories of battlers living in their cars, or camped-out in the countryside because they can no longer afford a solid roof over their heads having lost their jobs to the jab.

I can see the numbers of objectors ballooning, along with their sympathisers. Roy Morgan has been conducting a "Civil Disobedience Index" (my term, not theirs) since July 2016 where they ask "What is more important – freedom or the law?".

Their latest finding is that 29.3% favour freedom over the law, up from 21.6% in March 2020, pre-COVID. That may not be a majority, but it is a significant and increasing minority, and an active and fired-up minority can ultimately roll the majority.

Of course, it doesn't require street protests to overthrow bad legislation, simple disdain and disobedience will also do the trick.

That is how prohibition was ended in the USA. No one who wanted a drink had to miss out for lack of opportunity, and making it illegal opened up a secondary market where you could pay a "licence" fee to the local constabulary, and you wouldn't be bothered. In the end, what was the point.

Are Australians really ready to see maybe 20% of their country locked out of meaningful social interaction? Or will we regularly break the law, allowing the unvaxxed into bars and restaurants, discretionary shopping, weddings, funerals, and parties at home leaving legislators to ultimately wonder "What is the point"?

My money is on the lawbreakers.

In my view, the only way this could be avoided is by the state exercising massive force, but even here, the minority will normally break the majority. Think of South African apartheid, or Jim Crow segregation.

Essentially the effort of keeping them in place was too much. Yes, there were fireworks around the edges, but Rosa Parks wouldn't have moved anything if it wasn't ready to come tumbling down.

In the meantime, there are some significant political realignments occurring. The UAP, with Craig Kelly at the helm, has reportedly had a huge influx of members, as has the LDP with recruits like Campbell Newman. Both Kelly and Newman are running against lockdowns and vaccine mandates.