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This House stands with you

By Michael Knox - posted Thursday, 8 October 2020


The programs described in Frydenberg's speech are both large and historic. He notes that Jobkeeper is a $101 billion program, supporting 3.5 million jobs. This program has helped some 800,000 small and medium businesses to remain in business. Jobseeker doubled the safety net. Together, these actions have saved 700,000 jobs.

JobMaker now begins. The JobMaker hiring credit will be payable for up to 12 months and available to employers who hire those on JobSeeker aged from 16 to 35. This will support 450,000 jobs for young people. An additional $1.2 billion will create 100,000 new apprenticeships and traineeships with a 50% wage subsidy for businesses who employ them.

From Budget Night, over 99% of businesses will be able to write-off the full value of any eligible asset they purchased for their business. This will be available for small, medium and larger businesses for a turnover of up to $5 billion, until June 2022.

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The Treasurer notes that this will dramatically expand productive capacity of the nation and create tens of thousands new jobs. These programs and others generate a dramatic expansion of the Australian budget deficit that we can see in Figure 3 below. These deficits only gradually decline over the next decade. Still, they generate enormous support for a broader Australian recovery.

Figure 3: Underlying cash balance as a share of GDP

SOURCE: Budget Paper No 1 Statement No 3 Fiscal Strategy and Outlook – Chart 4 - Page 3-28

Where the money goes

In Figure 4below, we see expenditure outlined in Budget Paper No.1: Budget Strategy and Outlook 2020-21; Statement 5, Expenses and Net Capital Investment. This Budget proposes to spend a total of $670.3billion. The largest section of spending by far remains Social Security and Welfare. This will consume $227.5billion or 34% of total spending. Health expenditure consumes $93.8 billion or 14% of total spending. Education comes next with $41.7 billion or 6.2% of total spending. Only then do we find Defence with $34.4 billion or 5.1% of total spending.

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Figure 4: Estimates of Australian General Government Expenses by Function

SOURCES: Budget Paper No.1: Budget Strategy and Outlook 2020-21 Statement 5, Expenses and Net Capital Investment; Morgans

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This article was first published by Morgans.

Disclaimer

The information contained in this report is provided to you by Morgans Financial Limited as general advice only, and is made without consideration of an individual’s relevant personal circumstances. Morgans Financial Limited ABN 49 010 669 726, its related bodies corporate, directors and officers, employees, authorised representatives and agents (“Morgans”) do not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising from or in connection with any action taken or not taken on the basis of information contained in this report, or for any errors or omissions contained within. It is recommended that any persons who wish to act upon this report consult with their Morgans investment adviser before doing so. Those acting upon such information without advice do so entirely at their own risk.

This report was prepared as private communication to clients of Morgans and is not intended for public circulation, publication or for use by any third party. The contents of this report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without the prior written consent of Morgans. While this report is based on information from sources which Morgans believes are reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed reflect Morgans judgement at this date and are subject to change. Morgans is under no obligation to provide revised assessments in the event of changed circumstances. This report does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase any securities and should not be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever.



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About the Author

Michael Knox is Chief Economist and Director of Strategy at Morgans.

Other articles by this Author

All articles by Michael Knox

Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

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