They will be wiped out at the Federal Elections of 2019, reduced to a few seats. Their Coalition partners, the Nationals will be reduced to no more than two.
A new leader, Frydenberg, will be elected and he will commence the huge task of building a new Party. I will help him, even though I have never ever joined a political Party and won't join his, because we were mates before he entered Parliament.
His first task will be to expel Abbott and those of his mates who refuse to re-join the human race. Cory Bernardi will give them refuge.
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He will have to rename the Party because the Liberal brand has been irretrievably trashed.
Then, he must regain and reinvolve the millions of moderate Australians who now feel that the Liberals have betrayed them and left them unrepresented in the political scene as they will not back the ALP while it is affiliated with Trade Unions that control their funding.
It will take two full parliamentary terms for Frydenberg to achieve this huge task and he will then be in a position to win an Election so long so long as he has developed a simple economic and social agenda based around an new philosophy called THE SHARED GOOD based on a level playing field, equal opportunity and visionary aspirations in an unpolluted world.
I wish him well.
While the Liberals are being reformed, the ALP must face up to its own demons if its wants to become the natural Party of government.
It will never get there while the Unions are tied around their neck like a huge albatross. Those Unions directly represent less than 10% of the nation and they have one sole philosophy – naked power. The future of the ALP lies with the millions of intelligent Australians who are politically left of centre, but who won't have anything to do with Unions. The ALP has to decide who their powerbase are. If they choose Unions they too will die in the next decade.
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Shorten does however have an immediate problem.
Because of his quite extraordinary personal unpopularity, mainly caused by voters blaming him for the assassination of Rudd then Gillard, there are millions of disenchanted Liberal voters who will not vote for him. They have no choice but to vote for Independents. I expect twenty Independents to be in the next Parliament, but they will be a good quality of responsible person relatively untainted by the sickness of party politics.
So, Shorten's margin in the House will be small and he will have a hostile Senate.
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