Like what you've read?

On Line Opinion is the only Australian site where you get all sides of the story. We don't
charge, but we need your support. Here�s how you can help.

  • Advertise

    We have a monthly audience of 70,000 and advertising packages from $200 a month.

  • Volunteer

    We always need commissioning editors and sub-editors.

  • Contribute

    Got something to say? Submit an essay.


 The National Forum   Donate   Your Account   On Line Opinion   Forum   Blogs   Polling   About   
On Line Opinion logo ON LINE OPINION - Australia's e-journal of social and political debate

Subscribe!
Subscribe





On Line Opinion is a not-for-profit publication and relies on the generosity of its sponsors, editors and contributors. If you would like to help, contact us.
___________

Syndicate
RSS/XML


RSS 2.0

RBA board faces a number of dilemmas today

By Henry Thornton - posted Tuesday, 1 June 2010


At the same time, depreciation of the US dollar would strengthen US exports, especially if the US used a less consumerist approach to economic strategy.

But the US budget has deficits "as far as the eye can see" and US cash-interest rates are close to zero, hardly a scenario to encourage hard work and high saving.

China has been attempting to slow its runaway growth while the US has been showing signs of a double-dip recession.

Advertisement

Along with fears of a euro-zone debt crisis, the net result has been fears of a renewed global slowdown and this has increased uncertainty (raising market volatility) and produced renewed net falls in global share prices.

How these complex currents and cross currents play out provides the second major dilemma facing the RBA board today.

Domestically the uncertainties are real, too.

Like the global economy, Australia has a two-speed economy and as deputy-governor Ric Battellino has said, two speed for Australia usually means "fast" and "very fast".

The second leg of the present great resource boom is clearly under way, but if the world has another down-dip there will be some check to the optimism of miners and the many contractors working in the mining industry.

And there is a home-grown reason for the mining boom to slow: the "great big new mining tax".

Advertisement

The more hysterical commentators have spoken of a "capital strike" by the mining industry and it seems clear a good number of projects are on hold until this unexpected obstacle is dealt with.

Retail sales are said to be weak and there are many good discounts about.

Other things equal, this is a good thing, but if exports begin to slow and business investment is revised down, the gloss will come off Australia's so far excellent post-crash economic performance.

  1. Pages:
  2. 1
  3. Page 2
  4. 3
  5. All

First published in The Australian on June 1, 2010 and on Henry Thornton's blog.



Discuss in our Forums

See what other readers are saying about this article!

Click here to read & post comments.

Share this:
reddit this reddit thisbookmark with del.icio.us Del.icio.usdigg thisseed newsvineSeed NewsvineStumbleUpon StumbleUponsubmit to propellerkwoff it

About the Author

Henry Thornton (1760-1815) was a banker, M.P., Philanthropist, and a leading figure in the influential group of Evangelicals that was known as the Clapham set. His column is provided by the writers at www.henrythornton.com.

Other articles by this Author

All articles by Henry Thornton

Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

Photo of Henry Thornton
Article Tools
Comment Comments
Print Printable version
Subscribe Subscribe
Email Email a friend
Advertisement

About Us Search Discuss Feedback Legals Privacy