What system of health care financing would sustain such growth, assuming all of it leads to better health? The usual ideological arguments about public (tax-based) financing versus private insurance financing ignore the debate in other nations where consumer responsibility in health promotion and prevention is now accorded a central role in achieving affordable care.
We need a national debate on how much health care can we afford. It would flag our over-use of hospitals, identify the limits of fee-for- service payment, spotlight the growing prevalence of preventable risk factors and chronic conditions, and identify ways by which incentives and better information can enhance consumer responsibility for self-care.
If we adhere to the status quo, the Medicare levy is estimated to raise $5.4 billion in 2003/04, or about $270 per person, so the levy will finance less than a tenth of total health care expenditures.
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If the ALP wants a fully funded public system with no private insurance or copayments, we would all be paying a Medicare levy of about 12 per cent of our income, which is about the average social insurance tax for health care in European nations with 15-16 per cent of their population over 65 years.
On the other hand, if we are moving toward a health system with heavier private insurance funding, public subsidies far higher than today’s $2.6 billion for the 30 per cent rebate will be required.
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