Private health insurance (PHI) has been the most significant feature of
the Howard government’s approach to health policy. It continues to
arouse strong opinions from both sides of politics, academia, the medical
profession and health industry lobbyists. Despite regular flare-ups in the
media and Federal Parliament, it seems likely that its central PHI policy
planks: the 30 per cent Rebate, and Lifetime Health Cover (LHC), will
remain for the foreseeable future. The challenge for government is to make
it work better.
In 1996 the Howard Government found the PHI industry in a parlous
state. Everybody wanted solutions, and fast. The states blamed dwindling
PHI membership for the pressure facing their public hospitals. They
succeeded in getting a public hospital funding deal from the Commonwealth
(the 1998-2003 Australian Health Care Agreements – AHCAs) that ensured
that if PHI membership continued to fall, they would get more money. This
clause, known as “claw back” also worked in reverse, whereby the
Commonwealth could withdraw funds from public hospitals if PHI membership
levels increased. More on this later.
Consumers did not like PHI much either. The old and the unwell retained
their PHI cover, while the young, the healthy and the better off voted
with their feet. The price of PHI cover continued to soar, compounding the
well-entrenched consumer boycott of the troubled product.
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The PHI funds were struggling. Between 1992 and 1998 the percentage of
the population covered for PHI fell from 41 per cent to 30 per cent. The
PHI industry faced dwindling membership, with a higher risk profile than
the uninsured. The predictable result in 1996 was an operating loss of
$81.3m for the industry. In 1998, four of the 44 PHI funds were operating
below their statutory liquidity requirement of two months contribution
income held as reserves. The prospect of a collapse in the industry was
real. The consequences would have been disastrous for government, industry
and consumers.
The private hospital sector was also not travelling well. PHI funds
tightened up their payments to hospital providers. The hospitals suffered
a textbook case of margin squeeze, with many of them making more money
from their car parks and leased office suites, than from their core
business. The long-term viability of the industry was under threat – an
industry that provides over 50 per cent of all elective hospital
admissions and at that time more than 30 per cent of total hospital
activity.
The medical profession, with no price controls on its services, charged
consumers whatever the market would bear, irrespective of what the PHI
funds would pay.
Less than half of medical services delivered in hospitals were fully
covered by Medicare and PHI payments. Gap payments became the predictable
reward for faithful PHI fund members.
On top of this overall annual growth in health expenditure continued to
outstrip annual growth in GDP, with around 70 per cent of this funded by
government.
The government introduced a raft of policy reforms, with the 30 per
cent Rebate carrot (1999) and Lifetime Health Cover stick (2000) the most
prominent. The results were dramatic, and successful in many of the
targeted areas. PHI fund membership soared to 44 per cent. The cost of PHI
to consumers immediately fell by 30 per cent, and they experienced a
temporary reprieve from inflation, with minimal premium increases in the
two years following introduction of the rebate. The percentage of medical
claims not incurring a gap payment rose to 79 per cent. Private hospital
activity jumped by 21 per cent between 1998/99 and 2000/2001, while at the
same time public hospital activity increased by only 0.2 per cent. The
government can rightly claim credit for achieving many of its policy
objectives – increased choice through private health care,
affordability, reduced gaps, saving the PHI industry and boosting the
private hospital sector.
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Naturally, the reforms attracted criticisms for other outcomes,
including a new funding commitment of $2.2bn a year for the 30 per cent
rebate. This is not means-tested, and is calculated on the annual cost of
premiums, which are effectively guaranteed to increase annually by the CPI
since the government relinquished price controls to this level. There are
also additional costs to the Medicare and Pharmaceutical Benefits Schemes.
These programs cover part of the medical and drug costs associated with
private hospital admissions, which grew by 21 per cent over the past two
years. Per-capita utilisation of private hospital care also grew by 5.8
per cent and 10.1 per cent a year respectively over this period. Having
played the game for many years the private hospital sector is also seeking
a better deal in payment rates from the funds. All up, the Commonwealth
inherited new risk, with no effective controls over annual price and
utilisation growth, which drive this risk.
The positive impacts of the PHI program on the public hospital sector
are less clear-cut, and look increasingly temporary. The best estimate,
based on reduced public hospital admissions in 2000/2001, is that
approximately two years’ worth of average annual growth in the sector
did not occur. However there are three important riders. Firstly, in
2000/2001 there was a dramatic 9.5 per cent increase in the other workload
of public hospitals, not covered by PHI. This is non-admitted hospital
activity, and includes emergency department attendances, outpatients etc.
Secondly, a national survey of public hospitals conducted by the
Australian Healthcare Association showed that the slowdown in growth in
2000/2001 was followed by a 1.5 per cent increase in 2001/2002, indicating
that the sector may be returning to its normal growth pattern. Thirdly,
waiting times for elective public hospital admissions showed no decrease
whatsoever in 2000/2001 despite the massive increase in private hospital
activity.
The greatest risk facing the public hospital sector and its users
relates to the “claw back” provision in its funding agreement with the
Commonwealth. Based on the increased numbers of people with PHI, the
Commonwealth is entitled to withdraw $1bn a year from public hospitals.
They have stated that they will not do this in the current agreement,
which expires in June 2003. However there is no commitment to do so in the
2003-2008 agreement currently being negotiated. Implementing any form of
claw back in the next agreement would simply erase the net benefits to the
sector that the PHI program sought to achieve.