By 30 June 2000, the government had introduced its private health
insurance 'carrot and stick' reforms, providing a 30 per cent rebate for
contributions, but specifying a two per cent per year of age contribution
increase for people over age 30 who deferred taking out private health
cover. As was expected, the percentage of Australians covered for private
hospital insurance jumped to 43 per cent in 2000, and as high as 44.9 per
cent in 2001.
By June 2002 the decline had restarted, and coverage is down to 44.1
per cent as the downward spiral kicks in again, health funds apply for
further contribution increases and the government is stuck with a 30 per
cent rebate for an increasing contribution cost.
Health insurance is expensive. A 'middle of the road' cover will cost a
couple without children around $2,500 per annum after deduction of the 30
per cent government rebate. In other words, around $3,500 per annum
without the government subsidy. But for the maximum cover, a couple could
expect to pay about $4,170 per annum after the subsidy, or nearly $6,000
without the it. This is a high-cost item in most people's household
budget, and can be expected to be subjected to a rigorous value-for-money
test. This is particularly so where increases regularly exceed CPI, no
matter what the reason.
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A System In Crisis
It is hardly surprising, then, that an increase about seven per cent,
which will cost a further $175 per annum for a couple, should cause much
financial re-evaluation and the probability of further decline in private
health coverage. Anyone who regularly claims more than the cost of their
contributions is likely to stay with private health insurance. People who
pay more than they claim will continue to re-evaluate their membership. If
the cost is regularly more than the return, and if there is a perception
that the system does not provide adequate cover and the product is
confusing, people will opt out. To date, there appear to be no proposals
for negating the seemingly inexorable spiral of mounting private health
insurance contribution costs.
Miles Kemp, in an article titled "A Greedy System" in the Adelaide
Advertiser,14 January 2003, said:
"The spiralling cost of insurance premiums is a measure,
critics say, of the recent Federal Government policies designed to revive
the industry… What the government didn't bank on was that insurers
couldn't translate the additional members into profits. The insurers are
blaming increased costs. Critics blame bad management and the competition
for market share and the miscalculations of fund managers."
We appear to be heading back into a position where, even with a
government subsidy of around $2.5 billion, some health insurance funds
(including, ironically, the government-owned Medibank Private) continue to
make losses.
The PHIAC Commissioner's Annual Report for 2001-2002 contains the
ominous comment:
"Benefit payments increased significantly by 15.8 per cent
following the expiry of qualifying periods for new memberships resulting
from Lifetime Health Cover and, if this trend continues, it will put
upward pressure on contribution rates. Factors such as the medical
indemnity crisis, increased wages for nurses and other health
professionals, increased use and cost of prosthetics, technology costs and
consumer expectations all have effects on benefits paid by health funds.
These financial pressures are likely to continue over the next twelve
months."
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No comment is made about fund management standards. The same pressures
that have contributed to a general downturn in investment income
in a post-September 11 environment will have affected private health
insurance fund investment income. However, it is also hard to see
how any government can justify continued subsidies to organisations
that continue to lose money. The $2.5 billion that goes to subsidise
health funds at the expense of the public system can now hardly
be withdrawn from the private system, unless the government is prepared
to accept the almost certain collapse of private health insurance
as we know it.
Paradoxically, there is no evidence to suggest that the public hospital
system is benefiting in any substantial way from the money paid into the
private health insurance system. The government had expected that the
public system would benefit either by removing services from the public to
the private system, or by privately insured patients claiming the cost of
public treatments from the funds. This latter expectation conveniently
ignores the fact that any privately insured Australian is firstly a
Medicare contributor, entitled to the benefits of the 'free' public
system.
The time is ripe for a full-scale re-evaluation of the whole system of
health funding and all the assumptions and myths that underlie it. Not the
least the sanctity of private health insurance in general and community
rating in particular.