As droughts increase we’ll be less prepared, because of the long-running, deliberate “drought” in investment in agricultural science. Predictably, the politicians will again panic and try to kickstart a stalled science effort by kneejerk methods.
The shame of it is we’ll be trying to kickstart it at the same time as rest of the world, which according to a recent study by Julian Alston and Phil Pardey, has also let the agricultural R&D engine run down.
If the Hadley Centre is even half right, the world is going to be desperate for answers to drought by mid-century, and will pay anything to get them.
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Australians are drought specialists, arguably the world drought specialists. We have developed farming, grazing and landscape management systems to cope with temporal and spatial climate variability - and even to exploit them. This sort of knowledge and technology will be at a premium in an aridifying world. It will be a huge global industry. But knowledge doesn’t stand still and today’s cutting edge leader is tomorrow’s also-ran.
Not every human needs the Internet to survive (Kevin and John) but everyone must eat. Securing a sustainable food supply under drying, erratic conditions remains the highest priority - for nations, regions and for the world. For once, it would be nice if Australia took forethought and action ahead of the mega-droughts - and was ready with carefully-planned, well thought-out and technologically-excellent solutions.
If the climate gurus are disappointed in their predictions and it rains, then all we’ll gain is a more efficient and sustainable agriculture, great food and a more prosperous Australia. What is there to lose?
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