United States war aims, which we share,
are to disarm Saddam of his weapons of
mass destruction and to remove him lest
he rearm and resume his unacceptable policies,
domestic and foreign. But what are US
peace aims? Should they also be ours?
The first US peace aim is not just to
rehabilitate Iraq from the destruction
of war and the ravages of Saddam but to
transform it - its constitution by making
it a federation, its political system
by making it some sort of participatory
democracy, and its economy by freeing
it from central command. These wholesale
changes to Iraq's governance will be difficult
in the extreme, will probably take as
many years as the war takes weeks, and
will disappoint.
Take democracy as an example. Balfour,
Britain's Prime Minister 100 years ago,
said truly "our party political system
requires a people so fundamentally at
one that they can safely afford to bicker".
Hard to see in a contrived country deeply
riven in so many ways.
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Even more ambitious is the second peace
aim: to transform the whole Middle East,
by getting Syria in particular and the
PLO to accept - as Egypt and Jordan have
done, and as Iraq will - that Israel cannot
be undone and must be lived with; by getting
Israel to exchange land for acceptance;
by all the countries in the region becoming
democracies; by Iran's giving up its quest
for weapons of mass destruction and its
support for international terrorism; and
(less difficult than the others) by building
up Iraq to become a swing oil producer,
so reducing Saudi Arabia's excessive international
influence.
The third peace aim is more ambitious
yet: to get the world to understand that
the old stand-bys of containment and deterrence
are now of limited utility, and to accept
the concept of preventive defence - the
need and the right to be proactive not
supinely reactive, to take preemptive
action against looming dangers.
This is not a new concept, or practice,
but has come to the fore with the urgent
need to deal with two kinds of states:
those harbouring international terrorists,
who present a continuing if unpredictable
clear and present danger; and those rogue
states developing weapons of mass destruction,
to proof themselves against regime change
while adding to their capability to intimidate
others into changing their policies.
Not that the USA will be engaging itself
in a new battle every other month. For
one thing, being in effect an island state
it needs - and will not always get - other
states to give it purchase on the ground
- as many Middle East states are now doing
- to mount and to conduct military operations
in the far abroad. For another, it needs
to weigh the consequences of war for nearby
allies. And some threatening states, if
already armed with weapons of mass destruction,
will be too much to take on. Thus of the
two remaining rogue states identified
by President Bush, North Korea for all
those reasons is unassailable, while Iran
could be subjected at most to a surgical
strike on its nuclear facilities.
The fourth peace aim is the most ambitious
of all: to bring home to others that the
USA means it when its president says "the
US has the sovereign authority to use
force in assuring its own national security";
that it will not give to the United Nations
the right to decide for the USA its interests
and actions; that it will not allow itself
to be subjected to "international
discipline", to be tied down in its
purposes by countless Lilliputian strings
of "international law" (which
anyway changes with state practice - as
the recent largely European invention
of the "right of humanitarian intervention"
shows) and "multilateralism"
(the resort of the weak); that from now
on the place of the UN, with its many
resolutions but no resolution, will be
not as a source of legitimation, and not
to initiate or to prevent action, but
to become a service organisation engaged
in humanitarian tasks and in other rescue
operations.
Should those four US peace aims be Australia's
too? Yes, for all are in Australia's direct
interest.
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