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California’s energy crisis could bring the West Coast to its knee

By Ronald Stein and Mike Ariza - posted Thursday, 15 October 2026


California is the 4th largest economy in the world and an "ENERGY ISLAND that is separated from the other 48 continental States by the Rocky and Sierra Nevada Mountain ranges. There are no pipelines over these prestigious mountains to California. ALL of Californias' transportation fuel demands have been made by the California refineries to support the huge fuel demands of the State:

  • Diesel: Diesel fuel is the second largest transportation fuel used in California, consuming 10 million gallons/day for Diesel to support the State's highway transportation and trucking of products from 3 of the busiest shipping ports in America.
  • Jet fuel: With all 145 airports, including 9 international airports and 30 military airports, the demand is 11 million gallons/day for Jet fuel. Several of those airports have direct pipelines to local refineries. In 2019, California consumed 16.7% of the national total of jet fuel, making it the largest consumer of jet fuel in America.
  • Gasoline: For its 36 million vehicles, California is the second-largest consumer of motor gasoline among the 50 states, consuming 37 million gallons/day for Gasoline, just behind Texas.
  • Bunker Fuelfor the ships in three of the busiest Ports in America, located in California, consumes about 1 million barrels of bunker fuel annually.
    • The Port of Los Angeles had more than 1,800 vessel arrivals in 2024, which includes cruise and merchant ships.
    • The Port of Long Beach handled over 9.6 million container units in 2024, indicating a very high volume of ship activity, plus cruise ships.
    • The Port of Oakland, which also handles significant cargo volumes, contributes to the total number of cruise and merchant ships needing fuel.

Thus, if in-state refineries cannot manufacture the transportation fuels in-state, they must come from somewhere. In ALL the United States ONLY California imports transportation fuels from foreign countries to fill the void of refinery closures, to meet the demands of the 4th largest economy in the world.

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As stated by Chevron Ceo Andy Walz during an Ashley Zavala KCRA 3 Interview, March 6, 2026: "I am extremely worried! I do believe we should declare a state of emergency in the state of California".

Countless millions of families in California, Nevada, and Arizona are suffering financially. 40% of California's transportation fuels were being imported from countries like South Korea, China, India, and Singapore. With the onset of the war in Iran these Asian refineries lost their primary source of crude oil. They can't make the products that their countries need. This forced these Asian countries to discontinue shipping our fuel to California.

The effects of this are clearly spelled out in a document dated on April 15, 2026, from USC Professor Mische and Professor Rector from Berkeley titled "California Gasoline Supply Outlook: A disaster in the making" In this document the professors write "These Asian refiners" (notably India and South Korea) curtailed most exports as of March 15 but the corresponding decline in arrivals to California has only just begun due to shipping times of 25 – 45 days across the Pacific Ocean. Over the next one to two weeks, gasoline imports are expected to drop off sharply, reflecting cargoes that were never loaded or diverted. This will mark the point at which the import shock becomes fully visible in terminal supply and, ultimately, at the gas pump."

Currently there is another scenario unfolding that has the potential to bring serious consequences to the West Coast. To help understand this, we will once again quote CEO Andy Walz. He recently stated:"If you close a refinery, it doesn't come back. Closing a refinery is not a reversable decision, so if we close, we do not come back".

This was in response to a question that Ashley Zavala from KCRA 3 asked him about a recent letter that Chevron submitted to the state. Chevron, along with PBF and Marathon, all dispatched letters to Governor Newsom and the California Air Board stating that they were seriously looking at shutting down their refineries and leaving the State. This was in response to new Cap and Invest amendments that the state proposed. If adopted as is, it would have increased their fees by hundreds of millions of dollars while overseas refiners pay nothing. When asked specifically in the same interview about the possibility of Chevron shutting down, Mr. Walz replied: "If they add this burden of a tax on our refineries, I think it's just a matter of time. It's not whether or not they'll close, it's just when."

The following are direct quotes from all three corporation letters:

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  • Andy Walz (Chevron):"The proposed regulation will cripple the survivability of the state's remaining refineries, which will result in California losing the entire industry to the misguided program."
  • PBF Energy:"Unless CARB puts in-state refineries on an equal footing with importers... we will be forced to address the viability of our in-state operations, along with every other refiner in the state."
  • Marathon:"CARB's proposal would further widen the cost disparity, forcing refineries to reconsider whether refinery operations in California remain viable... net effect will be an increase in global greenhouse gas emissions [by relying on imports with lower environmental standards]."

CARB did make some changes to their new amendments based on the letters from the oil corporations.

However, On July 1, Communities for a Better Environment sued CARB for the changes that they made asking the court to invalidate the regulations and require CARB to complete a new review before adopting them again.

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This article was first published by America Out Loud News.



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About the Authors

Ronald Stein is co-author of the Pulitzer Prize nominated book Clean Energy Exploitations. He is a policy advisor on energy literacy for the Heartland Institute, and the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow, and a national TV commentator on energy & infrastructure with Rick Amato.

Mike Ariza is a US Navy veteran with over twenty years of experience in the refining industry. His refining experience extends from the Chevron Refinery in Richmond California, the Flying J refinery in Bakersfield, and the Valero Refinery in Benicia.

Other articles by these Authors

All articles by Ronald Stein
All articles by Mike Ariza

Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

Photo of Ronald SteinRonald SteinPhoto of Mike ArizaMike Ariza
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