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The Democrats’ stunning defeat and the way forward

By Alon Ben-Meir - posted Wednesday, 13 November 2024


Trump won the 2024 election fair and square. Certainly, the economy and immigration played a significant role, aided by gains among younger Black and Hispanic voters as well as inroads in traditionally Democratic urban and suburban areas in the swing states. And Trump's uncanny skill in portraying himself as the victim of the leftist elite became the mantra of his MAGA followers and the whole Republican party. However, instead of emphasizing the bread-and-butter issues from which the public at large is suffering, the Democrats' obsession with Trump and their depiction of him as the greatest menace to democracy, an authoritarian who is unfit to serve, did not resonate with the majority of the public. But regardless of the reasons behind the Democratic party's defeat, what should matter is how the party moves forward, reorients itself, and is responsive to the disenchanted public looking for change.

Reflect, not recriminate

The Democrats need to prioritize self-examination and rebuilding rather than blame. As one Democratic operative stated, "It's not a pointing fingers day. It's a reflection day." This approach allows the party to constructively analyze its shortcomings and develop strategies for future success. Recrimination distracts from addressing the fundamental problems that led to the defeat. The party needs to focus on reconnecting with working-class voters and addressing economic concerns that resonate with the electorate. Internal finger-pointing could exacerbate existing divisions within the party. Rep. Nikki Budzinski (D-IL) noted, "Finger-pointing is not worth it at all. This was a message. The voters were speaking to us. It would be to our detriment to not hear it." Continued attacks on Trump may backfire. Multiple impeachments and legal proceedings against Trump made him appear as a victim, energizing his base. Excessive recrimination could further damage the party's credibility with voters who felt disconnected from Democratic messaging.

Focusing on recrimination could prevent the necessary "comprehensive reassessment" called for by many Democrats. By avoiding recrimination and concentrating on constructive analysis and forward-thinking strategies, the Democratic Party can better position itself to address voters' concerns and rebuild its coalition for future electoral success.

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The Democrats need soul-searching

The Democrats should engage in soul-searching and introspection and reflect on several critical points. Many Democrats believe the party lost touch with working-class voters, including Latino and Black workers. There's a call to refocus on economic issues and address the everyday concerns of voters rather than primarily focusing on Trump's character or threats to democracy. There are calls for fresh leadership and new strategies. Harris's campaign focused too much on moderate Republicans at the expense of the party's working-class base, and its warnings about Trump's threat to democracy as a campaign strategy were not effective.

Analyzing why Trump gained ground with younger voters, African Americans, and Hispanics, and examining the party's weakening relationship with working-class voters across racial lines, are needed. Debating the party's stance on critical issues like immigration, calling to address economic concerns, and reflecting on whether the Democratic Party has become too associated with elites and lost its connection to working-class Americans is necessary. Additionally, it is critical to increase diversity among party decision-makers and reassess the party's infrastructure and fundraising methods. There should also be a discussion on how to work with Trump's administration. Finally, the party must craft more effective messaging strategies and communication with the electorates for future elections, which was missing.

Developing a positive agenda

The Democrats must focus on crafting a compelling vision for the future rather than dwelling on past grievances. As Filippo Trevisan, Associate Professor of Public Communication at American University stated, "You can't just be a 'No'-party, you need to come up with proposals." With midterms in 2026 and the presidential election in 2028, the party needs to focus on developing new strategies and cultivating new leadership. The defeat highlighted deeper problems within the party structure and strategy.

It's important to note that there's significant debate about the best path forward. Some argue for a more populist economic approach, while others caution against abandoning the party's current coalition. Additionally, the effectiveness of policy-based appeals versus cultural messaging is fiercely contested. Others suggest that Democrats need to focus on enacting policies that produce clear, immediate benefits for working families. In that vein, there are several vital points to consider regarding how Democrats could potentially reconnect with this crucial demographic:

Refocus on economic issues: Many analysts argue that Democrats ought to prioritize kitchen-table economic concerns that directly impact working families' lives. This includes addressing issues like wage stagnation, job security, affordable healthcare, and the rising cost of living. Incremental changes are not enough; the Democrats must propose bold, ambitious economic and political reforms to convince voters that they can deliver real change.

Improving messaging and communication: Even when Democrats have enacted pro-worker policies, they've sometimes struggled to effectively convey the benefits to voters. There's a need to better articulate and communicate how Democratic initiatives tangibly improve working people's lives.

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Recruiting more working-class candidates: Fielding candidates who personally understand the challenges faced by working-class communities could help Democrats rebuild trust and credibility with these voters. Furthermore, Democrats must find ways to bridge the growing cultural gap between the party's leadership and working-class voters, particularly on social issues.

Focusing on corporate accountability: Challenging corporate power and economic inequality could resonate with workers who feel the system is rigged against them. At the same time, strengthening ties with unions and the labor movement could help Democrats reconnect with their working-class roots.

Addressing regional economic disparities: Democrats must dive deeper into economic issues and pay more attention to the economic challenges facing working-class communities in areas that have experienced industrial decline or economic stagnation. They must rethink trade and globalization while developing a more worker-focused approach to trade policy and addressing the negative impacts of globalization on specific communities. Ultimately, rebuilding trust with working-class voters will likely require a multi-layered approach that combines policy initiatives, effective communication, and a demonstrated commitment to addressing the economic and social challenges facing these communities.

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About the Author

Dr. Alon Ben-Meir is a professor of international relations at the Center for Global Affairs at NYU. He teaches courses on international negotiation and Middle Eastern studies.

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Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

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