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Could the US election result dent the 'Huge Australia' plan?

By Stephen Saunders - posted Monday, 11 November 2024


Between 2008 and COVID, spanning five Labor and Liberal prime ministers, net migration averaged rather more than 200,000, with annual population growth 1.5% and higher.

Post COVID, Albanese Labor has taken the deluge to another level:

Labor's near 1.5 million net-migration over 2022-25, signing sweetheart deals with sectarian BJP India as Australia's preferred immigration partner, is radical engineering.

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Point of order: It's Albanese, not the inconvenient handful of Huge Australia objectors, that's the racially oriented disrupter. Were his 2022-25 immigration tally not six times higher than the long-term average, I for one would drop the subject. Anyone for hockey?

Population isn't just a "wicked problem"

The Huge Australia set, especially media, economists and mandarins, enjoys mystifying and obfuscating the population issue, as a wicked problem.

Like, it's a complex problem that is multidimensional and achingly difficult to solve within any reasonable time frame, so sad we couldn't help.

What they really mean is this: we're on a nice earner, to perpetuate problems, at the expense of ordinary folks. Yep, as in prolonging Australia's all-time housing unaffordability crisis.

In spades, the ABC punditry illustrates this irritating "wicked problem" trope:

"There are many dimensions to consider…a range of connected issues…projections for climate change, demographic trends, biodiversity, water usage, food security, energy, infrastructure, geopolitics, immigration, and more…some say Australia's population isn't much of a sustainability issue…global heating is getting worse"

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If you duck and weave like that, you're not really espousing prudent immigration/population management, are you? You don't really want to fix it, any time before 2050.

While the real solution is as simple – and as difficult – as this. Unlike ABC and other "experts", you start from the voters, most of whom want low migration.

The ABS is allowed to advise us indirectly, that under One Nation's zero net-migration scenario, our population would stabilise then fall slightly, maybe after 2040.

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About the Author

Stephen Saunders is a former APS public servant and consultant.

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