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Australian sporting crowds on the money – again

By Andrew Blyth - posted Monday, 12 February 2024


Leading up to the Aston by-election, the Howard Government faced numerous policy hurdles, with the government responding with reforms to fuel indexation and business activity reporting. The leak of the now-infamous 'mean and tricky' memo, penned by then-party president Shane Stone, stirred significant controversy and media scrutiny, presenting Labor with a golden opportunity. However, Labor's own missteps during the campaign shifted focus away from the Liberals' internal issues.

Liberal candidate Chris Pearce's effective campaign, coupled with strategic errors by Labor leader Kim Beazley, including his comment about Australians not being overtaxed, resulted in a limiting 3.5 per cent swing against the government.

Howard's remark the following morning on ABC's The Insiders - that the Liberal Party was "back in the game" - encapsulated the political turnaround. After five years in office there was still respect among the electorate for the Howard government.

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In the current climate, Albanese faces his own challenges. His recent tax package announcement evoking comparisons to a leader jumping at shadows (or internal polling).

While Albanese is focusing his campaign on his modifications to the Morrison Government's 'Stage 3' tax cuts, Dutton is concentrating his efforts on Albanese's failure to fulfil an election promise.

The verdict from a crucial segment of the Australian electorate on the performance to date of the Albanese Government will be revealed on March 2, which notably marks 28 years since the election of the first Howard Government in 1996.

At this critical juncture in the electoral cycle, akin to the 'premiership quarter' in AFL, Albanese's need for decisive action and strong leadership is more crucial than ever. Similarly, this period resembles 'moving day' in golf, where contenders make strategic plays to advance, while others fall behind. In this high-stakes scenario, it is essential for Albanese to elevate his game.

With Parliament set to reconvene and the Dunkley by-election approaching, time for campaigning is tight. This scenario ramps up the pressure on Albanese and his team to resonate with the broader electorate's aspirations. Game on.

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About the Author

Andrew Blyth is the John Howard Fellow at the Centre for Independent Studies.

Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

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