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Will the Ukraine stalemate spawn climate catastrophe?

By Andris Heks - posted Tuesday, 7 June 2022


Two, that the prolonged war could wipe Ukraine, as we have known it, off the face of this earth.

Three, that as the opponents sink their scarce resources into the bottomless pit of an unwinnable war, financially, the world is likely to lose its capacity to win the race to reign in global warming enough to save the Planet from climate catastrophe.

So, they say, everyone would then lose by the onset of an unliveable planetary climate.

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They argue that Putin may not lose in Ukraine because China cannot afford him to lose. China has been bailing North Korea out for years, sabotaging the effectiveness of Western sanctions. They say that Xi Jinping knows that if Putin fails to win territory, his own ability to win Taiwan back by force, which seems to be necessary for his political survival, would also be questioned.

China has the capacity to prevent the economic collapse of Russia by blunting the effectiveness of the Western sanctions against it. It can provide enough aid to Russia's economy to survive, in return for Russian oil, coal, gas, grain and military technology.

And Putin knows that if he loses the war in Ukraine he is finished. Therefore he would continue fighting to win at any cost. Being a dictator he can hold his own country to ransom for much longer in order to win the war than Western governments can in democracies.

Critics point to the Vietnam war, Syria and Afghanistan. They contend that after the initial enthusiasm for fighting the so called 'just war' for democracy in Ukraine, the cost to the western populations may become so high that they would likely lose their appetite for further sacrifices.

At that point, the West may back off from keeping to try to maintain Ukraine's capacity to be able to resist their Russian invaders' more overwhelming forces and Ukraine could bleed to death, reminiscent of Syria.

So, they say, after all, Ukraine may lose the war and would end up far worse off than if it now was willing to give up some territory to save the rest of the country.

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And tragically, they add, if the world's exhausted economies plunge into stagflation-based global depression, we all may also lose our capacity for saving the world by averting catastrophic rise in global warming.

They reckon that if the West was willing to bite the bullet to compromise now and take up Kissinger's suggestion and lean on Ukraine to trade land for peace, a worse catastrophe for Ukraine and the whole world may still be averted.

In doing so - they assert - both the Ukrainian government and Putin could save face.

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About the Author

Andris Heks worked as a Production Assistant and Reporter on 'This Day Tonight', ABC TV's top rating pioneering Current Affairs Program and on 'Four Corners' from 1970 till 1972. His is the author of the play 'Ai Weiwei's Tightrope Act' and many of his articles can be viewed here: https://startsat60.com/author/andris-heks.

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All articles by Andris Heks

Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

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