Jordan faces looming crisis with Isis

Paul Saunders assesses the help Kadyrov could give Jordan:

While he likely has extremely limited influence over the extremists fighting in the Middle East, he does have a variety of tools at his disposal that go beyond those normally employed by states. One example has been Kadyrov's apparent deployment of his pro-Russian Chechen fighters in eastern and southern Ukraine to support pro-Russian forces there; Crimea's new leaders went so far as to award him a medal "For the Liberation of Crimea," a fact proudly reported on Chechnya's official news website. In explaining the award, a Crimean official said that "at the request of Chechnya's leader, the Chechen diaspora supported Crimeans in a difficult time." Kadyrov may well have very useful channels into Jordan's Chechen diaspora too.

Abdullah's visit to Kazyrov – his "brother and friend" - will not have earned him any brownie points with America or the West.

The US Department of State has described Kazyrov's rule as "corrupt and brutal" and Western human rights organizations frequently condemn his government's conduct.

Abdullah is desperately seeking to strengthen the protective umbrella afforded by Israel and the West that has shielded its Hashemite rulers against past PLO, Hamas and Moslem Brotherhood attempts to destabilize Jordan and overthrow the Monarchy.

The Hashemites are long time survivors - having astutely managed to retain 78% of Mandatory Palestine under exclusive Arab sovereignty for the last 92 years.

Jordan has been a safe haven for millions of refugees from past conflicts in Kuwait and Iraq. It currently hosts 599461 registered Syrian refugees – of whom approximately 27% are aged between 0-17.

Osama Al Sharif warns:

The possible collapse and partition of Iraq will also have grave geopolitical repercussions on Jordan. The creation of a Sunni enclave along Jordan's eastern borders will have political, economic and social effects on the kingdom. Israel, too, is worried about such a possibility since Jordan has acted as a buffer zone between the Jewish state and Arab heartland. Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth reported on June 23 that Jordan and Israel have increased their security consultations to deal with the latest ISIS advances in Iraq.

Jordan badly blundered in ignoring Israel's warning to stay out of the 1967 Six Day War – resulting in Israel capturing the West Bank and East Jerusalem – ending Jordan's 19 years of uninterrupted occupation since 1948.

Direct negotiations with Israel to redress that fatal decision by redrawing the boundaries between Israel and Jordan within the framework of their 1994 Peace Treaty should now become an increasingly attractive proposition for King Abdullah to seriously consider.

Article 4.5 provides for co-operation in combating terrorism of all kinds

Jordan - facing its looming crisis with ISIS - risks suffering the same political and humanitarian disasters currently embroiling Syria and Iraq.

Israel could be Jordan's lifeline in preventing this happening.