This 17 year threshold obviously explains why England 2 years ago denied there was a “pause” in the temperature trend.
But he’s now on board and he accepts that the temperature has stopped rising.
But like Trenberth before him he cannot face this fundamental contradiction of AGW. Trenberth in the infamous emails said:
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The fact is that we can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't.
And like England now Trenberth also headed for the winds to explain how the pesky heat sunk to the bottom of the ocean. For Trenberth the “missing heat” was moved to the ocean bottom by “surface wind variability”.
In one of the AGW debate’s greatest ripostes Roy Spencer provided a graph showing that wind variability had actually declined:
Trenberth’s mechanism for the transfer of heat to the bottom of the ocean was contradicted by the reality of the data and that is as good a symbol of the AGW debate as possible: theory and assumptions defeated by reality.
This graph also defeats England’s paper, but there are further dimensions to how wrong his paper is.
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In 2006 another of the leading AGW scientists, Gabriel Vecchi wrote a paper which concluded the Trade winds were not strengthening but weakening. Vecchi said:
The vast loop of winds that drives climate and ocean behavior across the tropical Pacific has weakened by 3.5% since the mid-1800s, and it may weaken another 10% by 2100.
This is a profound contradiction to England’s conclusions. In fact Vecchi concluded every aspect of the climate system was weakening including the Walker Circulation the World’s greatest energy movement system. Astoundingly, the ABC, just as they reported England as gospel this time, also reported Vecchi in 2006!
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