And is this about more than trans-Atlantic relations? Where do Russia
and China fit in this post-Cold War world? If the US tells the world that
it's all right to abandon arms treaties, why can't North Korea walk away
from the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty?
If the US thinks it's fine to adopt a defence strategy of pre-emptive
strikes against even those it only suspects are a threat, what about
others which inevitably will refuse to wait for solid evidence or
international legitimacy? Pakistan or India? Russia? China or Taiwan?
Israel? Are we on the verge of another arms race if, when push comes to
shove, a would-be nuclear power like North Korea can stare down the US?
What rogue state looking at the recent experience of Iraq and North Korea
would not opt for nuclear weapons?
And do Japan and South Korea decide that to keep the regional balance,
they must go nuclear? If Iran leaps the nuclear hurdle, do Turkey and
Saudi Arabia do likewise? And if US impatience totally discredits the
notion of international weapons inspections in Iraq, how will we be sure
what others are doing in the future? Will they be bombed, just in case?
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Democratic double standards don't help either, particularly by a
President who insists that he is driven by "moral clarity".
If Washington cosies up with Pakistan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Algeria,
Indonesia and Uzbekistan, it is not surprising that some around the world
have difficulty believing its urgent desire to deliver democracy, human
rights and freedom to the Iraqis and Palestinians. In its haste,
Washington seems to have forgotten Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld's
friendly visit to Baghdad in the early '80s, even as Saddam was dropping
gas on Iran in a war that Iraq started. And little thought is given to
Washington's disastrous past dealings with the Shah in Iran, Mobutu in
Zaire, Soeharto in Indonesia, Duarte in El Salvador, the Nigerian generals
and Mexico's Institutional Revolutionary Party.
This is not simply an American problem. Just as Washington needs to
adjust to changed circumstances, so too does Europe. Some in Europe box on
as though little has changed. But it has, and they need to respond.
As Hirsh puts it:
"American power is the [key] ... It oversees the global system
from unassailable heights, from space and from the seas. And if Bush has
his way, this rise to hegemony will continue. As he said in his West Point
speech: 'America has, and intends to keep, military strength beyond
challenge.'"
But Hirsh sees a middle way between Europe's "squishy
globalism" and Bush's "take-it-or-leave-it unilateralism".
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"A new international consensus, built on a common vision of the
international system, is possible," he says. "In today's world,
American military and economic dominance is a decisive factor and must be
maintained but mainly to be the shadow enforcer of the international
system Americans have done so much to create in the last century.
"It's the international system and its economic and political
norms that again must do the groundwork of keeping order and peace:
deepening the ties that bind nations together; co-opting failed states
such as Afghanistan, potential rogues and 'strategic competitors'; and
isolating, if not destroying, terrorists."
However, in urging that the US has to listen as well as be heard,
Georgetown University's Professor John Ikenberry, warns of dire
consequences in the present US strategy: "[It] threatens to rend the
fabric of the international community and political partnerships,
precisely at a time when that community and those partnerships are
urgently needed."
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