The large flow of outward migration each year, combined with the relatively small inward flow of humanitarian and family reunion refugees means that it is possible for Australia to significantly reduce its population growth without shutting the door on those in other countries. Indeed, it is even possible for Australia to increase its humanitarian intake without putting pressure on the population as long as the country is willing to rein in the very large skilled migrant intake.
Australia is a nation of migrants; the first intake sought no permission to settle here. Migration is, and is likely to remain, an important part of what makes the Australian population the diverse and dynamic society that it has become. But the benefits of migration should not be conflated with the benefits of an ever-increasing population. As the data presented above show, there is no reason for Australians to be forced to choose between being open, inclusive and rapidly growing or being closed, exclusive and stable.
The onus of proof should be on those who wish to see our population burgeon to make the case for it. Similarly, if we are to increase our population by 60 per cent in the next four decades we should invest in the infrastructure we will need before we invite new citizens, not after they arrive.
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In this era of evidence-based policy, it seems strange that for all the government inquiries that have been held there is yet to be a major scientific, social and economic analysis of the impact of rapid population growth in Australia. While it might be hard to agree on exactly how many people Australia can handle, it may be much easier to agree that much of our infrastructure, natural, physical and social, is already showing signs of stress.
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