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Swan song of the Bomber

By Keir Semmens - posted Monday, 4 December 2006


This is the challenge that Labor had to have. As an audience anticipates the denouement of a tragedy, so too has Labor awaited the swan song of the Bomber.

Not quite two years ago, spooked by the train wreck of Mark Latham’s leadership, the ALP chieftains asserted their authority and reinstated Kim Beazley to the leadership unopposed. The principal argument in his favour, then as now, was that most prized quality - safe hands. Having nearly toppled John Howard twice, Beazley himself claimed that his intervening retreat to the backbench had stoked his political fire and reinvigorated his policy passion.

Alas, like most grown-up sequels this one has crashed and burned. Any romance website could have forewarned the ALP of this outcome. Dalliances with ex-flames, while tempting, ardent and yes, safe, rarely end well. John Howard is the exception that proves the rule. He’s been doing that a lot lately.

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Beazley’s honourable defeats obscure the fact that Labor’s primary vote, on his watch, fell to 37.8 per cent in 2001, its then lowest total for more than 60 years. This cannot be pinned on the “Tampa” alone. During their wilderness years, former Labor leaders, including Gough Whitlam and Bill Hayden, propelled the ALP through party and policy renewal. Beazley shirked this challenge, either because he didn’t want to upset the status quo or he failed to grasp the need for reform. Nothing since his comeback shows he has changed.

Indeed, recent heavy lifting on the policy front has not stemmed from the Leader’s office. As the Howard Government radically reshapes Australia’s industrial relations landscape, Greg Combet and the ACTU have been rallying the workers. It fell to the government’s own backbenchers, marshalled by Petro Georgiou, to land a blow on behalf of refugees. Kevin Rudd has relentlessly prosecuted Labor’s case confronting the government’s negligence with regard to AWB and its wilful malfeasance in relation to Iraq and Afghanistan. Meanwhile Beazley has still to land one decisive blow on this government.

Labor must offer voters three guarantees to win office - national security, economic security and personal security. With Labor on the mat against the Howard juggernaut, the party can ill afford to neglect these critical themes.

Kevin Rudd fits this bill. A diplomat in his 20s, chief of staff to Wayne Goss at 30, then director-general of the Queensland Cabinet Office at 34, Rudd oozes talent. Appointed shadow minister for foreign affairs after just three years in parliament, he quickly became one of the most prominent and effective spokesmen for Labor policy.

Rudd demonstrated his adept handling of national security issues as shadow foreign minister. His deep networks on both sides of American politics match those of Beazley, making him well capable of managing our most important alliance. And his extensive experience in China and fluent command of Mandarin position him uniquely to nurture Australia’s most important developing relationship.

On the economic front, Rudd spent four years as Queensland’s most senior public servant, overseeing the state budget and introducing government transparency after 32 years of cronyism and stagnation.

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He also knows a thing or two about business. Aside from his own stint in the private sector with KPMG, his wife Thérèse Rein is a leading Australian entrepreneur. Since founding Work Directions Australia in their attic in 1989, her firm has grown to employ more than 1,200 staff in Australia and Europe. Rudd is no stranger to the challenges that confront our nation’s enterprises.

As for personal security, few of Rudd’s colleagues can relate as he can to the hardships families face. After his father’s sudden death when Rudd was 11-years-old, his family lost their home and he was forced to spend many years moving from one temporary accommodation to the next. Kevin Rudd is no dilettante. He has overcome significant hardships to excel at every task he undertakes. Labor could well use this quality.

Of course, Rudd is not without his critics. His success provokes envy in some quarters, resentment in others. He has been called arrogant and aloof. Which political leader cannot be described thus by his opponents? In the cauldron of ALP politics, Rudd has doubtless stepped on toes and put noses out of joint.

His critics’ most potent venom claims that Rudd would be unelectable as prime minister. They suggest his appearance and manner will not connect with the Australian public. While Kevin could use a dose of barbecue school, any adjustments for leadership would be purely cosmetic. Similar complaints were once voiced about John Howard. Not any more.

The signs abound that many Labor luminaries still don’t understand why the primary vote has collapsed or what needs to be done to recover. It’s not rocket science, as Rudd has shown in his own electorate. In 2001, he countered the national trend with a 3.2 per cent swing in his favour, followed by another 2.5 per cent gain in 2004: this in Queensland, which has otherwise proven a graveyard for his federal colleagues. While the apparatchiks dithered, Rudd delivered yet again.

Beazley’s backers argue that his considerable experience must carry the day. They point to the failed Latham experiment as proof that Australians will not back a novice. But where Latham was a maverick, Rudd is rock steady.

Kim Beazley is a good and decent man. He has done his best for Labor against a shrewd and wily rival and there is no disgrace in that. But he has come up short. Now Labor must turn to a new leader to carry the fight to Howard. Kevin Rudd stands ready to oblige.

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About the Author

Keir Semmens is an investment banker and longstanding member of the Australian Labor Party.

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