Like what you've read?

On Line Opinion is the only Australian site where you get all sides of the story. We don't
charge, but we need your support. Here’s how you can help.

  • Advertise

    We have a monthly audience of 70,000 and advertising packages from $200 a month.

  • Volunteer

    We always need commissioning editors and sub-editors.

  • Contribute

    Got something to say? Submit an essay.


 The National Forum   Donate   Your Account   On Line Opinion   Forum   Blogs   Polling   About   
On Line Opinion logo ON LINE OPINION - Australia's e-journal of social and political debate

Subscribe!
Subscribe





On Line Opinion is a not-for-profit publication and relies on the generosity of its sponsors, editors and contributors. If you would like to help, contact us.
___________

Syndicate
RSS/XML


RSS 2.0

Zika marches on: lessons not learnt

By Peter Curson - posted Thursday, 4 August 2016


It is only six months since the WHO declared Zika to be a global health emergency and since then the disease has continued its unrelenting march across the world now affecting more than 65 countries and creating unease, fear and panic particularly among pregnant women and their families.

Up until 2013 Zika was regarded as a largely benign and harmless infection with mild symptoms. All that has now changed and since the WHO's announcement Brazil has suffered tens of thousands of cases and a huge surge in the number of babies born with microcephaly. In addition, at least 14 countries have now reported cases of microcephaly and other central nervous system disorders and 15 countries have reported an increased incidence of Guillain-Barre syndrome.

Despite all this some are now saying that the epidemic has peaked in Brazil and Latin America but in reality it may take years for it to fully disappear and its effects will linger much longer.

Advertisement

In the meantime work goes on to produce a vaccine. History suggests that a fully effective vaccine that is widely available will most probably appear when the epidemic has run its course and we are confronted by another "new" infectious disease threat.

Do the lessons we have learnt from Zika, Ebola Swine Flu and SARS count for anything and do they offer us an insight into how to contain and stop future epidemics?

The battle to contain and eliminate such epidemics still rages and it is a battle that we are not winning. In the case of Zika we know that it is spread by the aedes mosquito but we are really unable to do much about limiting the distribution of the mosquito. Confronted as we are by a mosquito which over the last two centuries has beautifully adapted to living with and around humans our chances of winning the battle are remote.

The failure of the widespread spraying campaign involving more than 200,000 soldiers in Brazil suggests as much.

Ebola and now Zika demonstrate how much we have to learn and how we can be caught off guard and hindered by the poor surveillance and response mechanisms at our disposal.

The first battle against Ebola has been won but the war continues and the disease has simply retreated back into the security of its natural animal reservoir. How long before it ventures out again to attack humans is anybody's guess and we should not delude ourselves that the war has been won as a large part of West Africa still remains vulnerable to future outbreaks.

Advertisement

In particular, parts of Africa and Asia suffer from weak government institutions, poor health services, environmental degradation, poverty, human migration and conflict and political instability.

All this creates the perfect storm conditions for an outbreak of infectious disease particularly where such things result in the disturbance of natural reservoirs of disease where infections have been nurtured for centuries.

But at the moment world attention is focussed on Zika. Today, probably two million Brazilians have Zika and now cases are appearing in the USA and Western Europe. In Puerto Rico at least 5,500 people have tested positive for the disease including approximately 670 pregnant women. The disease is also prevalent in American Samoa and the US Virgin islands.

  1. Pages:
  2. Page 1
  3. 2
  4. All


Discuss in our Forums

See what other readers are saying about this article!

Click here to read & post comments.

14 posts so far.

Share this:
reddit this reddit thisbookmark with del.icio.us Del.icio.usdigg thisseed newsvineSeed NewsvineStumbleUpon StumbleUponsubmit to propellerkwoff it

About the Author

Peter Curson is Emeritus Professor of Population and Health in the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences at Macquarie University.

Other articles by this Author

All articles by Peter Curson

Creative Commons LicenseThis work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

Photo of Peter Curson
Article Tools
Comment 14 comments
Print Printable version
Subscribe Subscribe
Email Email a friend
Advertisement

About Us Search Discuss Feedback Legals Privacy